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No QF Here

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 16 February 2018, at 11:02 p.m.

In Response To: No QF Here (Stick)

I would risk a fluke loss with 6/off 4/2. You don't lose very often if White rolls a single 6 since you'll be about a 10/1 fav to be the first to enter from the roof. A 6 by White and a 3 by you (~ a 9% parlay) gives you much better g chances than if you played safe with this 62.

The shot-leaving play is also better if White fails to roll a 6 since you'll have a lot more ways to keep a 5 point board while playing your next roll (31/36 to 14/36 by my count).

Plus you own the cube so you'll be able to redouble the opponent in or out after a bad sequence like 6-fan-6.

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