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Banana split or not? - ROLLOUTs

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Sunday, 25 February 2018, at 10:01 p.m.

In Response To: Banana split or not? (Karol Szczerek)

Conditions for banana split are good. Opponent is in a great shape and has threats if you let him play his full roll while he's on the lines when you put him up.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 87
Unlimited Game
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBaBB-B-a-a--------fbdAA:1:-1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/19 5/4* eq: +0,194
Player:
Opponent:
58,96% (G:25,59% B:1,35%)
41,04% (G:10,31% B:0,36%)
Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,188...+0,201) - [100,0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/19 2/1eq: +0,164 (-0,031)
Player:
Opponent:
59,77% (G:13,92% B:0,60%)
40,23% (G:3,37% B:0,07%)
Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,159...+0,168) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 32 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Giving White stronger board is not that major of a factor although it brings the plays quite close.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 89
Unlimited Game
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBaBB-B-a-a-------bdbdAA:1:-1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/19 5/4* eq: -0,246
Player:
Opponent:
45,77% (G:20,41% B:1,00%)
54,23% (G:21,74% B:1,08%)
Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,252...-0,241) - [57,8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/19 2/1eq: -0,247 (-0,001)
Player:
Opponent:
46,30% (G:10,28% B:0,38%)
53,70% (G:8,87% B:0,18%)
Conf.: ± 0,005 (-0,252...-0,242) - [42,2%]
Duration: 3 minutes 46 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Diversifying White's board spares makes it much more urgent for Blue to gain tempo:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 90
Unlimited Game
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBaBB-B-a-a-------ccbdAA:1:-1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/19 5/4* eq: -0,278
Player:
Opponent:
44,60% (G:20,36% B:0,95%)
55,40% (G:22,45% B:1,15%)
Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,290...-0,267) - [100,0%]
Duration: 1 minute 08 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/19 2/1eq: -0,373 (-0,095)
Player:
Opponent:
42,44% (G:8,48% B:0,21%)
57,56% (G:10,41% B:0,20%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,382...-0,364) - [0,0%]
Duration: 54,3 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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