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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #16 - EGB Cube - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2018, at 3:41 p.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #16 - EGB Cube (Stick)

While those who answered basically got this one correct, I didn't see anyone quote a reference position which is a real shame. 54S-44P-F-C should be in your arsenal from which you could be more confident in your answer to this problem.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BE-CA--dB---d-e---AA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.85% (G:30.02% B:1.28%) 67.98% (G:31.37% B:1.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.15% (G:6.76% B:0.29%) 32.02% (G:7.00% B:0.34%)
Cubeless Equities +0.600 +1.228
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.816 (-0.151)±0.014 (+0.801..+0.830)
Double/Take:+0.966±0.020 (+0.946..+0.986)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.034)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43614899
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 35 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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