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Position 47, Rollout + Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 10 March 2018, at 7:45 a.m.

In Response To: Paul Magriel Tribute (Chris Bray)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 101
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 91
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCbCBA------b----bbBcbb-:1:-1:1:44:0:0:3:0:10

Original position


1.Rollout121/13(2)eq: +0.079
Player:
Opponent:
61.60% (G:3.50% B:0.09%)
38.40% (G:3.20% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.076...+0.082) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout121/17(2) 7/3 5/1eq: +0.030 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
57.85% (G:6.19% B:0.06%)
42.15% (G:5.99% B:0.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.027...+0.034) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 01 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 40252035
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Above is a rollout of Chris' second position.
Making the midpoint -- leaving a shot on the 7pt -- is easily best.

In the variant below, Blue's anchor is promoted from 21pt to 20pt.
This time it's essentially a tie, with the safe play edging out the shot-leaving play.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 99
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 89
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCbCBA------b----bBbcbb-:1:-1:1:44:0:0:3:0:10

Variant (Blue owns 20pt instead of 21pt)


1.Rollout120/16(2) 7/3 5/1eq: +0.133
Player:
Opponent:
61.67% (G:6.41% B:0.05%)
38.33% (G:5.09% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.130...+0.135) - [99.9%]
Duration: 10 minutes 10 seconds
2.Rollout120/12(2)eq: +0.127 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
63.44% (G:3.43% B:0.07%)
36.56% (G:2.95% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.125...+0.129) - [0.1%]
Duration: 7 minutes 30 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 95026818
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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