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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #18

Posted By: Michael
Date: Sunday, 11 March 2018, at 10:32 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #18 (Karol Szczerek)

These numbers give me an eq of about .97 after RD/T. (.72 - .28 for single wins is .44; gammons is .2 - .05 = .15 addition, so together it's .59, now x2 because we double, so 1.18, and minus typical cube vig of .2)

This calculation caught my attention. Basically it's a heuristic for converting the Double/Take cubeless equity to approx cubeful equity in money games [0.72+0.2-0.28-0.05]*2 -0.2=0.98

I checked it on a few positions and it looks it's working. It even looks accurate when applied on the variant. Taking numbers from the rollout the D/T cubeful equity is: [74.2+27.3+0.08-25.8-5.15-0.15]/100=0.7048 0.7048*2 -0.2=1.2096 ~ pretty close to the rollout !!

My question is where did you get this heuristic from? Also you said the 0.2 deduction is typical for the recube vig, do you use any other constants for non typical cases and if yes how do you decide?

Thanks

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