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White is ahead one shake... (XG++ and OTB)

Posted By: Ian Terry
Date: Tuesday, 13 March 2018, at 4:03 a.m.

In Response To: White is ahead one shake... (Ian Terry)





White is Ian Terry

score: 1
pip: 26
7 point match
pip: 20
score: 0

Blue is Jack Erwin
XGID=---DB-A--------------bbad-:2:-1:-1:00:1:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 36.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.272 +0.728
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.641 (-0.088)
Redouble/Take:+0.728
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.272)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

OTB, blue offered the redouble to 8. As white, the redouble seemed obvious. I thought about this one for a minute or two. I counted 26-20 correctly, and figured that blue's ace point wastage was balanced by my gaps such that pip count would give an accurate picture. Admittedly, I passed this.

Several strong open level players that were watching agreed with the pass, with one calling the XG++ answer a "surprising result". Another was behind me apparently mouthing "pass" to another observer.

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