This is one MCG had OtB and I think he ended up hitting but wouldn't swear to it. It was either hitting or 5/3 though. I would have hit because in situations when I can't decide which way to go hitting is more likely to be the way to go than not. I hate these decisions OtB, you spend 5 minutes on it, get absolutely nowhere, end up more or less making an educated guess praying you got it right (or at least not too wrong) and at the end of the day all you did was waste 5 minutes of your life when any play would have sufficed.
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 125 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 151
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aaB-DB-----cD----Bcbb--cA:1:-1:1:23:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 23 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 5/3 | eq: -0.187 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.50% (G:15.57% B:0.59%)
49.50% (G:19.07% B:0.34%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.195...-0.179) - [65.4%]
Duration: 6 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 5/2* | eq: -0.191 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.11% (G:17.06% B:0.63%)
47.89% (G:23.19% B:0.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.200...-0.182) - [23.8%]
Duration: 6 minutes 42 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 13/10 | eq: -0.195 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.43% (G:16.38% B:0.64%)
48.57% (G:22.35% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.204...-0.186) - [5.8%]
Duration: 6 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 13/11 | eq: -0.196 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.13% (G:16.34% B:0.71%)
48.87% (G:22.07% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.205...-0.186) - [5.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52138310
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10