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Your variant is a massive pass, but...

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 21 March 2018, at 10:05 p.m.

In Response To: Your variant is a massive pass, but... (Jim Stutz)

Play this out by hand for a while and you'll see how much the gap matters.

Here's another ref pos.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 33
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 31
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aCBBBB-----------------bd-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.624% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 77.829% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.376% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 22.171% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5525 +1.1132
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.8351 (-0.1563)±0.0013 (+0.8338..+0.8364)
Redouble/Take:+0.9914±0.0022 (+0.9891..+0.9936)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0086)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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