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Rollout etc
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: DMP 2 pt game..43 to play (neilkaz)
Date: Wednesday, 11 June 2008, at 1:06 p.m.
OTB I couldn't decide between making my 3 pt which I obviously need long term and 22/15 and inspite of decent immediate shot chances, finally erred with the 3 pt. I certainly didn't give 22/18 6/3 much consideration, but it does work quite well when not hit. The principle in leaving the 22 pt is not to leave a blot where it doesn't do much good and where you hate it if it's pointed on.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, Neil 6 (match to 7 points, post-Crawford play)
Move number 4: Neil to play 34
Pip counts: gnubg 85, Neil 133
Position ID: x+0MBgBmuwwAGg Match ID: cInxAGAAMAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 22/18 6/3 -0.3152
0.3424 0.0510 0.0029 - 0.6576 0.3448 0.0435 -0.3152 -0.3152 0.0007 0.0020 0.0005 - 0.0007 0.0041 0.0017 0.0015 0.0015 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5794 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 22/15 -0.3193 ( -0.0041)
0.3403 0.0467 0.0030 - 0.6597 0.3083 0.0358 -0.3193 -0.3193 0.0007 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0007 0.0041 0.0016 0.0015 0.0015 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5795 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 7/3 6/3 -0.3416 ( -0.0264)
0.3292 0.0517 0.0039 - 0.6708 0.3187 0.0354 -0.3416 -0.3416 0.0012 0.0034 0.0009 - 0.0012 0.0076 0.0029 0.0024 0.0024 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1856 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 2 22/18 9/6 -0.3725 ( -0.0573) 0.3138 0.0433 0.0004 - 0.6862 0.1755 0.0039 5 2 22/18 7/4 -0.3778 ( -0.0626) 0.3111 0.0440 0.0004 - 0.6889 0.1715 0.0035
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