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Rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 11 June 2008, at 1:06 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 2 pt game..43 to play (neilkaz)

OTB I couldn't decide between making my 3 pt which I obviously need long term and 22/15 and inspite of decent immediate shot chances, finally erred with the 3 pt. I certainly didn't give 22/18 6/3 much consideration, but it does work quite well when not hit. The principle in leaving the 22 pt is not to leave a blot where it doesn't do much good and where you hate it if it's pointed on.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, Neil 6 (match to 7 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Neil to play 34


3X2O1O3X2X3X '2X ' ' ' '

 '2O '2O2O3O1O '2O ' '2X

Pip counts: gnubg 85, Neil 133
Position ID: x+0MBgBmuwwAGg Match ID: cInxAGAAMAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 22/18 6/3 -0.3152
0.34240.05100.0029-0.65760.34480.0435 -0.3152 -0.3152
0.00070.00200.0005-0.00070.00410.0017 0.0015 0.0015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5794 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 22/15 -0.3193 ( -0.0041)
0.34030.04670.0030-0.65970.30830.0358 -0.3193 -0.3193
0.00070.00180.0005-0.00070.00410.0016 0.0015 0.0015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5795 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 7/3 6/3 -0.3416 ( -0.0264)
0.32920.05170.0039-0.67080.31870.0354 -0.3416 -0.3416
0.00120.00340.0009-0.00120.00760.0029 0.0024 0.0024
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1856 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828871672 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 2 22/18 9/6 -0.3725 ( -0.0573)
0.3138 0.0433 0.0004 - 0.6862 0.1755 0.0039
5 2 22/18 7/4 -0.3778 ( -0.0626)
0.3111 0.0440 0.0004 - 0.6889 0.1715 0.0035

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