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why is this a take

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 29 April 2018, at 5:27 p.m.

In Response To: why is this a take (DanielP)

If you just take and never redouble (unrealistic of course), your tp is 23% + 77% of trailer's g's minus 81% of your own. Plugging in both sides g chances gives a tp of ~34% so you have a take even if you never recube. Trailer's 4 cube tp is ~26% ats which makes the take even clearer. Your cube vig is somewhat reduced ats however because you might end up in some "too good and not good enough" positions when you turn the game around with decent g chances of your own. If it does go R/T in such a position, the trailer will recube to 8 to make your g's irrelevant.

Your advanced anchor gives you a good chance of getting off the g even if White picks up your other blot. Gotta take this one!

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