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BGonline.org Forums
race cube
Posted By: rambiz In Response To: race cube (Karol Szczerek)
Date: Sunday, 10 June 2018, at 11:52 p.m.
Karol wrote: "Blue would waste 9.5 pips in ref position 222333. Here, his 6pt spare was stacked on the 5, which is probably about +0.5 eff pip. The 3 was degraded, but that shouldn't change the EPC as there are still checkers on the 6pt to fill the potential gap. Any checker more than 2 on the deuce adds +1 eff pip. So we have 9.5 + 0.5 + 1 = 11 pips wastage for an EPC of about 66."
This is a very nice analysis. It makes sense and I agree completely. Thank you!
Karol wrote: "White's rolls+straggler position is 3.5 x 15 + 16 = 68.5 EPC, plus certainly a bit more than 1 for his bad homeboard distribution, say 1.5. That's 70 EPC."
Why not add, say, 2 or 1 or 2.5 to the EPC? How do we assess the extra wastage?
Karol wrote: "From that, it looks to me like D/T. "
Given the EPC, what is your formula for double/redouble/take decisions, please?
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