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BGonline.org Forums
Which is more aggravating & why?
Posted By: Stanley E. Richards In Response To: Which is more aggravating & why? (Stick)
Date: Sunday, 15 June 2008, at 3:54 p.m.
Easy question.
Full Limit Poker - Good players can expect a 1 BB per 100 hand win rate with a standard deviation of 15.
No Limit Poker - Good players can expect a 5 BB per 100 hand win rate with a standard deviation of 50.
Backgammon - Good players can expect a .18 point per game win rate after the rake with a standard deviation of .21.
Poker variances are staggering compared to backgammon. Poker has a 15 to 1 or 10 to 1 standard deviation to win rate ratio. Backgammon almost has only a 1 to 1 ratio. By applying the normal distribution graph, one recognizes the good backgammon players win about 80% of their sessions, while good poker players win about 55% of their sessions. Thus from a consistent winning perspective, poker is much more aggravating.
However, backgammon's great frustration is the extreme difficulty in obtaining sufficient action. Poker players enjoy excellent sites with unlimited actions. Thus in spite of the high variances, Poker is a far superior gambling vehicle than backgammon. Good backgammon players who play online will tell you that their ratings or their repuation causes long waits. I frequently waited more than an hour to play before I quit online backgammon due to poor action.
Stanley
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