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What are the odds--Monte Carlo bets | Betting sites?

Posted By: Phil Simborg
Date: Friday, 20 July 2018, at 3:46 p.m.

In Response To: What are the odds--Monte Carlo bets | Betting sites? (leobueno)

Interesting idea, but I don't think there would be enough action for the betting site, and even backgammon players who would like to bet would probably be turned off by the rake.

What would be more fun is to see experts like Joe Russell and others set the odds for each player and country and see what they think Assume a field of 200, and assume Mochy is the best player, what would his odds be, for example. Something like 50 to 1? Or 25 to 1?

And let's assume that the next 10 people you could name (like Victor, Jorgen, Lars, O'Hagan, Russell, Sax, Michi, Akiko, etc.) are extremely close to Mochy's odds, then what would be the odds of an "average" player to win? My guess would be something like 300 to 1.

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