but the great player did not. Analysis

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but the great player did not. Analysis

Posted By: svilo
Date: Wednesday, 1 August 2018, at 10:19 p.m.

In Response To: I think XG guessed the backgame move right but the great player did not. (svilo)

White is Bill Robertie

score: 19
pip: 107

21 point match

pip: 182
score: 17

Blue is Player Nack Ballard

XGID=---a-CDAA--A-a--abbbbbBbBA:0:0:1:61:17:19:0:21:8
Blue to play 61

1. XG Roller++ Bar/24 11/5 eq: -0.610
Player:
Opponent: 32.03% (G:1.98% B:0.08%)
67.97% (G:36.47% B:5.83%)
2. XG Roller++ Bar/24 8/2 eq: -0.667 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent: 30.33% (G:1.75% B:0.07%)
69.67% (G:36.28% B:5.62%)
3. XG Roller++ Bar/24 7/1 eq: -0.710 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent: 29.21% (G:1.58% B:0.06%)
70.79% (G:37.16% B:5.88%)
4. XG Roller++ Bar/24 22/16* eq: -0.921 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent: 25.17% (G:3.02% B:0.19%)
74.83% (G:50.88% B:16.65%)

Four possible 6s. The Jump seems automatic because the timing is not enough. But the jump may be automatic from a loaded 3 point. Now it will certainly bring disaster - an undoubled gammon and the match. Best is to reduce shots and hope for both lucks - saving the gammon or fighting from an 1-3 backgame for the win ? :( The 8/2 save is better than 7/1 because it leaves less shots and builds a better board, but the 11/5 is splendid! The poisonous 7 and 8 blots may bring some more good timing.The pure play!

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

It is a very old match between Nack and Bill Robertie published by Friedman or Robertie himself.