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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 30 January 2007, at 4:24 p.m.

In Response To: Weaver v. Stick cube action (Stick)

I thought at the time it was a huge cube and though I didn't give it much OTB thought since I was trying my best to look 'bored' I was pretty sure I had a pass. No way he has a play on here either, too many variations where I can attack his last checker or even jump out from behind the prime. Paul didn't cube, and I was happy, for about 2-3 seconds, then his dice hit and he had rolled a 6-5, again he pops to TG.


Match to 11, Blue leads 4 to 3
Blue(Weaver) on roll. Cube Action?
110
113
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.623
0.4% 15.4% 76.1% 23.9% 5.4% 0.4%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.623 ±0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 10704 games), played 3-ply (precise), seed 1, with race database.
1. Double, pass 1.000
2. No double 0.831 (-0.169)
3. Double, take 1.130 (+0.130)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

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