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Move up or Hit -- Variant -- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 11 August 2018, at 3:20 a.m.

In Response To: Move up or Hit -- Variant (Nack Ballard)





White is RayDenny

score: 0
pip: 114
7 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is leobueno
XGID=-aBBBBCB-A----a--cccb-b-A-:3:-1:1:32:0:0:0:7:10

Original position


1.Rollout16/1* eq: +0.345
Player:
Opponent:
67.25% (G:25.04% B:1.12%)
32.75% (G:5.58% B:0.74%)
Conf.: � 0.003 (+0.342...+0.348) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 9/7eq: +0.297 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
64.84% (G:29.72% B:1.74%)
35.16% (G:6.02% B:0.41%)
Conf.: � 0.004 (+0.293...+0.301) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 23 seconds
3.Rollout124/21 6/4eq: +0.280 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
64.02% (G:29.95% B:1.70%)
35.98% (G:6.49% B:0.46%)
Conf.: � 0.003 (+0.277...+0.284) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44023095
First 1 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Leobueno's rollout of his original position. (Just think of it as DMP.)

Below is a rollout of the variant I posted. As a cusp, it can be used for reference.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBCB-A-------bdcc-b-A-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10

Variant (White's 11pt checker is moved to her 7pt).


1.Rollout124/21 9/7eq: +0.413
Player:
Opponent:
70.66% (G:28.22% B:2.16%)
29.34% (G:3.78% B:0.25%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.411...+0.416) - [83.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout16/1* eq: +0.411 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
70.57% (G:17.68% B:1.21%)
29.43% (G:4.26% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.409...+0.414) - [16.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout124/21 6/4eq: +0.400 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
69.99% (G:26.75% B:2.12%)
30.01% (G:3.97% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.397...+0.402) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 04 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30857571
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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