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Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.

Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 7:14 a.m.

In Response To: Sometimes BG is mostly a math game. (neilkaz)

White has 15% or so from a two-roll position with Blue having missing doublets. Then I would look at rolls that set Blue up for bad misses: 11, 21, 31, 41, 51, 61, 22, 32, 42. Of course these are not all the same, but for simplicity, treat them as such. 16 rolls. On these 16 rolls, say that white is about 55% on average instead of 15% , so gaining 40%, or about 6.4 rolls out of 36. So total winning chances about 32.5% for White.

Comfortable double and take.

Messages In This Thread

• Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
  neilkaz -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 6:34 p.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Joseph Pregler -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 7:34 p.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 5:49 a.m.
      • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
        Joseph Pregler -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:01 p.m.
      • 3 Checker EPC
        Rico -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 11:50 p.m.
        • 3 Checker EPC
          Rico -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 12:02 a.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:50 p.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 9:02 p.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 1:26 a.m.
      • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
        Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 5:39 a.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 7:14 a.m.
  • OTB and analysis
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:20 p.m.
    • OTB and analysis
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 4:13 p.m.
    • OTB and analysis
      Frank Talbot -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 5:33 a.m.
      • OTB and analysis
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 6:09 p.m.
      • OTB and analysis
        Frank Talbot -- Thursday, 30 August 2018, at 2:43 a.m.
  • Talbot method to evaluate 3 checker bearoff
    Bill Calton -- Sunday, 16 September 2018, at 12:25 a.m.
    • Mistake in the last example
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 16 September 2018, at 10:39 a.m.