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Mistake in the last example

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Sunday, 16 September 2018, at 10:39 a.m.

In Response To: Talbot method to evaluate 3 checker bearoff (Bill Calton)

Great method, thanks for the video Bill.

Just note that in the last example only D5 and D6 works for either side, so Red wins 34 x 2 / 1296 in 1 roll which is about 6%. Therefore you should get 20% + 6% - 1.2% = 24.8% as your estimation. Pretty close to the true 24.4%.

Messages In This Thread

• Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
  neilkaz -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 6:34 p.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Joseph Pregler -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 7:34 p.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 5:49 a.m.
      • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
        Joseph Pregler -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:01 p.m.
      • 3 Checker EPC
        Rico -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 11:50 p.m.
        • 3 Checker EPC
          Rico -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 12:02 a.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:50 p.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 27 August 2018, at 9:02 p.m.
    • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 1:26 a.m.
      • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
        Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 5:39 a.m.
  • Sometimes BG is mostly a math game.
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 7:14 a.m.
  • OTB and analysis
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 2:20 p.m.
    • OTB and analysis
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 August 2018, at 4:13 p.m.
    • OTB and analysis
      Frank Talbot -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 5:33 a.m.
      • OTB and analysis
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 29 August 2018, at 6:09 p.m.
      • OTB and analysis
        Frank Talbot -- Thursday, 30 August 2018, at 2:43 a.m.
  • Talbot method to evaluate 3 checker bearoff
    Bill Calton -- Sunday, 16 September 2018, at 12:25 a.m.
    • Mistake in the last example
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 16 September 2018, at 10:39 a.m.