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Closeout or play to pick up extra checker?

Posted By: John Gamalielson
Date: Sunday, 21 October 2018, at 5:34 a.m.

In Response To: Closeout or play to pick up extra checker? (John Gamalielson)

After about a minute of thought I decided to close the board. I was a bit surprised that not closing the board gave up so many wins compared to gammons gained.





White is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 68
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 70
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ACaCCC--Ba----------aeeb-:0:0:1:11:5:6:1:7:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout15/3* 4/3 2/1eq: +1.2648
Player:
Opponent:
97.63% (G:15.61% B:0.34%)
2.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ±0.0011 (+1.2638...+1.2659) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37.3 seconds
2.Rollout19/8 5/3* 4/3eq: +1.2176 (-0.0473)
Player:
Opponent:
91.80% (G:19.07% B:0.90%)
8.20% (G:0.96% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ±0.0017 (+1.2159...+1.2193) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 40 seconds
3.Rollout16/3* 4/3eq: +1.2056 (-0.0593)
Player:
Opponent:
91.60% (G:18.68% B:0.79%)
8.40% (G:0.66% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ±0.0017 (+1.2039...+1.2072) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
4.Rollout29/8(2) 4/3* 2/1eq: +1.1311 (-0.1337)
Player:
Opponent:
88.57% (G:17.99% B:0.68%)
11.43% (G:1.02% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ±0.0033 (+1.1279...+1.1344) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21.3 seconds
5.Rollout26/3* 2/1eq: +1.1301 (-0.1347)
Player:
Opponent:
88.79% (G:17.71% B:0.68%)
11.21% (G:0.56% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ±0.0032 (+1.1268...+1.1333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.6 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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