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Does the ace matter much take two?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Saturday, 26 January 2019, at 2:26 p.m.

In Response To: Does the ace matter much take two? (Stick)

White's board is too strong to make aggressive blotty plays like 13/12 or hitting while making the four point. And I'm going to lift the blot on the nine for the same reason.

So, 9/7* 8/7 and then what for the last ace?

8/7 spreads 'em around better, but 18/17 leaves one fewer shot.

Cube action may play a role here since blue is much better with unstacking the eight if white misses. I'm not seeing many gammon wins for blue, so I don't think the more aggressive play will push it into TG territory. But I do see a fair number of gammon losses for blue.

Safe v bold criteria are mixed - white has the stronger board, but blue is behind in the race. That said, the strong white board seems a bigger factor than the race since white will be on the bar behind a four prime.

So I'll wimp out and make the safe play. Maybe one shake is not enough, but I'll opt for safe(er) here.

18/17 9/7* 8/7

Messages In This Thread

• Does the ace matter much take two?
  Stick -- Friday, 25 January 2019, at 5:05 a.m.
  • Does the ace matter much, take two -- VARIANT
    Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 26 January 2019, at 6:31 a.m.
    • Does the ace matter much, take two -- VARIANT
      ah_clem -- Saturday, 26 January 2019, at 2:30 p.m.
    • Does the ace matter much, take two -- VARIANT
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 29 January 2019, at 3:47 p.m.
      • ROLLOUTS above *NM*
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 29 January 2019, at 4:41 p.m.
  • Does the ace matter much take two?
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 26 January 2019, at 2:26 p.m.
    • Does the ace matter much take two? - Rollout
      Stick -- Tuesday, 29 January 2019, at 7:37 a.m.
      • Does the ace matter much take two? - Rollout
        Mike Clapsadle -- Wednesday, 30 January 2019, at 4:43 a.m.