[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

XG Total cost and Should have won and some stats

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Friday, 8 March 2019, at 6:57 a.m.

In Response To: XG Total cost and Should have won and some stats (Christian Plenz)

Let me check if I understand your method of analysis.

Scenario 1: Two perfect players. An imperfect evaluation, which assigns random errors to the perfect players.

Your analysis might be something like

Favorite exp.: 53% (or whatever. In each match either of the players will appear to be the favorite by some amount)

Favorite act.: 50% (assuming the confusion of the evaluation hits the luckier player just as hard as the less lucky one on average)

Scenario 2: Two equal, but imperfect players. A perfect evaluation. Assume a parallel world where it turns out that backgammon is a game where being on the winning path is more error-prone than being on the losing path, so the winner always has more difficult decisions.

Your analysis:

Favorite exp.: 55% (or whatever)

Favorite act: 0%

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.