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Random 22 - ROLLOUT & VARIANTS

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Friday, 22 March 2019, at 8:58 p.m.

In Response To: Random 22 (Karol Szczerek)

5/1*(2) is correct.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCA--b-ccaa---:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout15/1*(2) eq: +0,651
Player:
Opponent:		65,59% (G:16,26% B:0,44%)
34,41% (G:7,23% B:0,21%)		Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,644...+0,658) - [100,0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout113/11(3) 6/4eq: +0,598 (-0,053)
Player:
Opponent:		64,98% (G:12,09% B:0,53%)
35,02% (G:5,71% B:0,13%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,591...+0,604) - [0,0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout113/11(2) 13/9eq: +0,584 (-0,067)
Player:
Opponent:		64,83% (G:12,52% B:0,65%)
35,17% (G:6,93% B:0,19%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,578...+0,590) - [0,0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 59 seconds
4.Rollout210/8 10/4eq: +0,490 (-0,161)
Player:
Opponent:		63,68% (G:10,40% B:0,66%)
36,32% (G:6,30% B:0,18%)		Conf.: ± 0,017 (+0,473...+0,507) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Variant A

Blots in White's backyard doesn't seem to make difference. In this variant, White is adjusted 3/6 4/8.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCA--c-dc-----:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout15/1*(2) eq: +0,742
Player:
Opponent:		67,51% (G:18,77% B:0,37%)
32,49% (G:6,80% B:0,22%)		Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,732...+0,752) - [100,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 20 seconds
2.Rollout113/11(3) 6/4eq: +0,681 (-0,061)
Player:
Opponent:		67,25% (G:12,75% B:0,35%)
32,75% (G:4,87% B:0,13%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,675...+0,687) - [0,0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 57 seconds
3.Rollout113/11(2) 13/9eq: +0,630 (-0,112)
Player:
Opponent:		66,10% (G:13,37% B:0,45%)
33,90% (G:5,92% B:0,19%)		Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,623...+0,637) - [0,0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 55 seconds
4.Rollout210/8 10/4eq: +0,591 (-0,151)
Player:
Opponent:		65,85% (G:12,05% B:0,34%)
34,15% (G:5,91% B:0,22%)		Conf.: ± 0,019 (+0,572...+0,610) - [0,0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 35 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Variant B

When we make safe play possible for Blue, the switch remains strong, but falls slightly behind.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bC-A-b-ccaa---:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout115/11 13/11 6/4eq: +0,652
Player:
Opponent:		67,54% (G:10,07% B:0,41%)
32,46% (G:4,71% B:0,12%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,646...+0,658) - [100,0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout15/1*(2) eq: +0,632 (-0,020)
Player:
Opponent:		65,18% (G:16,26% B:0,45%)
34,82% (G:7,41% B:0,22%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,626...+0,638) - [0,0%]
Duration: 43 minutes 01 second
3.Rollout115/13 10/8 10/6eq: +0,623 (-0,028)
Player:
Opponent:		67,53% (G:8,85% B:0,20%)
32,47% (G:3,93% B:0,09%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,618...+0,629) - [0,0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 03 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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