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Random 22 - another VARIANT, and CUBE position

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 23 March 2019, at 12:23 a.m.

In Response To: Random 22 - ROLLOUT & VARIANTS (Karol Szczerek)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 Unlimited Game pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCA--b-ccaa---:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Original

1.	Rollout1	5/1*(2)	eq: +0,651
	Player: Opponent: 65,59% (G:16,26% B:0,44%) 34,41% (G:7,23% B:0,21%) Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,644...+0,658) - [100,0%] Duration: 41 minutes 50 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/11(3) 6/4	eq: +0,598 (-0,053)
	Player: Opponent: 64,98% (G:12,09% B:0,53%) 35,02% (G:5,71% B:0,13%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,591...+0,604) - [0,0%] Duration: 35 minutes 14 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11(2) 13/9	eq: +0,584 (-0,067)
	Player: Opponent: 64,83% (G:12,52% B:0,65%) 35,17% (G:6,93% B:0,19%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,578...+0,590) - [0,0%] Duration: 32 minutes 59 seconds
4.	Rollout2	10/8 10/4	eq: +0,490 (-0,161)
	Player: Opponent: 63,68% (G:10,40% B:0,66%) 36,32% (G:6,30% B:0,18%) Conf.: ± 0,017 (+0,473...+0,507) - [0,0%] Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Karol's rollout of his original position.

Below is a contrasting variant, where White owns her 10pt instead of her 8pt.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 146 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCAb---ccaa---:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Variant, Cube Centered (White owns her 10pt instead of 8pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/11(3) 6/4	eq: +0.717
	Player: Opponent: 67.13% (G:14.33% B:0.71%) 32.87% (G:5.49% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.712...+0.723) - [97.4%] Duration: 48 minutes 37 seconds
2.	Rollout1	5/1*(2)	eq: +0.710 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 67.22% (G:16.67% B:0.32%) 32.78% (G:6.57% B:0.20%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.706...+0.715) - [2.6%] Duration: 40 minutes 56 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/11(2) 13/9	eq: +0.678 (-0.039)
	Player: Opponent: 66.25% (G:14.71% B:0.98%) 33.75% (G:6.64% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.672...+0.685) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 18 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 17249936 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 17249936 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

In the variant position (though not the original), Blue has a small initial double, but not a redouble, before the roll.

Cube position makes a difference. Compare the following TWO rollouts below (side by side, if your window is wide): one with White owning the cube, and the other with Blue owning the cube.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 146 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCAb---ccaa---:1:-1:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Variant, Cube on White's side

1.	Rollout1	5/1*(2)	eq: +0.350
	Player: Opponent: 67.37% (G:17.60% B:0.43%) 32.63% (G:6.90% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.346...+0.354) - [100.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 30 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/11(3) 6/4	eq: +0.324 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 67.27% (G:14.63% B:0.74%) 32.73% (G:5.55% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.319...+0.328) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 04 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11(2) 13/9	eq: +0.303 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 66.66% (G:15.55% B:0.98%) 33.34% (G:6.92% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.299...+0.307) - [0.0%] Duration: 27 minutes 16 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 35839467 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 146 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCbB-B-bCAb---ccaa---:1:1:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Variant, Cube on Blue's side

1.	Rollout1	13/11(3) 6/4	eq: +0.767
	Player: Opponent: 67.08% (G:14.44% B:0.66%) 32.92% (G:5.57% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.761...+0.774) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 14 seconds
2.	Rollout1	5/1*(2)	eq: +0.744 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 67.12% (G:17.01% B:0.37%) 32.88% (G:6.66% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.740...+0.749) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 25 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11(2) 13/9	eq: +0.736 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 66.25% (G:14.82% B:0.90%) 33.75% (G:6.89% B:0.20%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.731...+0.741) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 43 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 11856807 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Random 22
  Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 21 March 2019, at 5:18 p.m.
  • Random 22
    TarHeelFan -- Thursday, 21 March 2019, at 6:19 p.m.
  • Random 22 - ROLLOUT & VARIANTS
    Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 22 March 2019, at 8:58 p.m.
    • Random 22 - another VARIANT, and CUBE position
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 23 March 2019, at 12:23 a.m.