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Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ** **ROLLOUT RESULTS**

Posted By: Justin Nowell
Date: Friday, 3 May 2019, at 8:23 a.m.

In Response To: Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ** (Justin Nowell)

Here's hoping Nack remixes these too. TY, very MUCHY

#1

		White is Kazuki Yokota score: 0 pip: 104 7 point match pip: 186 score: 0 Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=a-bAcBCCCBA------c-bb-b---:1:-1:-1:32:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 8/5	eq: -0.462
	Player: Opponent: 34.68% (G:4.16% B:0.21%) 65.32% (G:31.63% B:1.66%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.473...-0.452) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 5/2	eq: -0.540 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 33.05% (G:3.88% B:0.29%) 66.95% (G:34.98% B:1.87%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.551...-0.529) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/23 6/3	eq: -0.596 (-0.134)
	Player: Opponent: 31.24% (G:3.37% B:0.14%) 68.76% (G:35.20% B:1.75%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.607...-0.586) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 39 seconds
4.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 8/6	eq: -0.663 (-0.201)
	Player: Opponent: 26.71% (G:4.54% B:0.23%) 73.29% (G:32.10% B:1.49%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.675...-0.651) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 26 seconds
5.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 23/21	eq: -0.762 (-0.299)
	Player: Opponent: 24.76% (G:3.81% B:0.25%) 75.24% (G:35.64% B:1.45%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.772...-0.751) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 07 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#2

		White is Kazuki Yokota score: 0 pip: 80 7 point match pip: 111 score: 0 Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=-BGb--D-a----ab-----B-bcd-:1:-1:-1:22:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 22

1.	Rollout1	22/18(2)	eq: -0.021
	Player: Opponent: 43.33% (G:3.78% B:0.08%) 56.67% (G:8.51% B:0.05%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.030...-0.011) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 11/9(2)	eq: -0.097 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 41.57% (G:4.31% B:0.07%) 58.43% (G:12.57% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.107...-0.088) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds
3.	Rollout1	22/20(2) 11/9(2)	eq: -0.101 (-0.080)
	Player: Opponent: 40.37% (G:3.79% B:0.07%) 59.63% (G:9.54% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.110...-0.092) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 44 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/20 22/16	eq: -0.131 (-0.111)
	Player: Opponent: 40.75% (G:3.98% B:0.07%) 59.25% (G:13.12% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.141...-0.122) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 46 seconds
5.	Rollout1	12/4	eq: -0.149 (-0.128)
	Player: Opponent: 38.26% (G:2.92% B:0.04%) 61.74% (G:7.93% B:0.06%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.158...-0.140) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#3

		White is Kazuki Yokota score: 4 pip: 84 7 point match pip: 107 score: 4 Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=-CC-bCB-B---b---B--bc-bbb-:0:0:-1:63:4:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 63

1.	Rollout1	21/12	eq: -0.457
	Player: Opponent: 37.37% (G:11.68% B:0.88%) 62.63% (G:14.23% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.470...-0.443) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 40 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.592 (-0.135)
	Player: Opponent: 34.57% (G:5.20% B:0.24%) 65.43% (G:6.85% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.605...-0.578) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/10 13/7	eq: -0.623 (-0.167)
	Player: Opponent: 34.11% (G:4.58% B:0.09%) 65.89% (G:4.85% B:0.08%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.632...-0.615) - [0.0%] Duration: 57.5 seconds
4.	XG Roller++	13/7 5/2	eq: -0.747 (-0.290)
	Player: Opponent: 31.23% (G:3.21% B:0.06%) 68.77% (G:6.35% B:0.06%)
5.	XG Roller++	21/18 21/15	eq: -0.860 (-0.404)
	Player: Opponent: 32.77% (G:5.04% B:0.15%) 67.23% (G:16.41% B:0.13%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#4

		White is Sebastian Wilkinson score: 1 pip: 152 7 point match pip: 134 score: 2 Blue is Kazuki Yokota
XGID=----AbE-CaaBbBB--cac--b---:0:0:1:21:2:1:0:7:10
Blue to play 21

1.	Rollout1	6/3	eq: +0.434
	Player: Opponent: 64.22% (G:5.23% B:0.20%) 35.78% (G:5.16% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.423...+0.444) - [99.7%] Duration: 8 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/7 6/4	eq: +0.411 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 63.10% (G:10.04% B:0.70%) 36.90% (G:6.93% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.399...+0.423) - [0.3%] Duration: 8 minutes 43 seconds
3.	Rollout2	4/1	eq: +0.400 (-0.034)
	Player: Opponent: 63.17% (G:4.39% B:0.16%) 36.83% (G:5.46% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.389...+0.410) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 13 seconds
4.	Rollout2	11/10* 6/4	eq: +0.343 (-0.091)
	Player: Opponent: 59.49% (G:17.68% B:1.35%) 40.51% (G:10.54% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.326...+0.360) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 23 seconds
5.	Rollout1	11/9* 11/10*	eq: +0.276 (-0.158)
	Player: Opponent: 58.81% (G:14.81% B:0.68%) 41.19% (G:11.45% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.261...+0.291) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 51 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84662119 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#5

		White is Kazuki Yokota score: 0 pip: 139 7 point match pip: 133 score: 0 Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=----bBDBCBa-aa---aabbbb-AA:1:1:-1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 66

1.	Rollout1	21/15 13/1* 7/1	eq: +1.035
	Player: Opponent: 79.28% (G:52.54% B:0.55%) 20.72% (G:3.08% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.028...+1.042) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/15(2) 13/7 12/6	eq: +0.939 (-0.096)
	Player: Opponent: 84.67% (G:29.06% B:0.55%) 15.33% (G:1.70% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.932...+0.945) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 50 seconds
3.	Rollout1	21/15 21/9 13/7	eq: +0.935 (-0.100)
	Player: Opponent: 85.24% (G:27.58% B:0.58%) 14.76% (G:1.56% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.928...+0.942) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 42 seconds
4.	XG Roller++	21/15(2) 13/1*	eq: +0.859 (-0.176)
	Player: Opponent: 77.17% (G:41.88% B:0.76%) 22.83% (G:4.90% B:0.34%)
5.	XG Roller++	21/15(2) 12/6 7/1*	eq: +0.822 (-0.213)
	Player: Opponent: 75.71% (G:42.21% B:0.69%) 24.29% (G:5.20% B:0.30%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#6

		White is Kazuki Yokota score: 3 pip: 123 7 point match pip: 104 score: 1 Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=----bECBB----B----bcbbd-A-:0:0:-1:00:3:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	64.20% (G:22.43% B:0.45%)	64.70% (G:22.26% B:0.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.80% (G:7.00% B:0.52%)	35.30% (G:7.21% B:0.70%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.449	+0.943
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.609 (-0.158)	±0.009 (+0.600..+0.618)
Double/Take:	+0.767	±0.017 (+0.750..+0.783)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.233)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89328754 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ**
  Justin Nowell -- Wednesday, 1 May 2019, at 6:02 p.m.
  • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ**
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 1 May 2019, at 8:56 p.m.
  • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ**
    Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 May 2019, at 9:04 p.m.
  • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ**
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 2 May 2019, at 7:23 p.m.
  • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ** **ROLLOUT RESULTS**
    Justin Nowell -- Friday, 3 May 2019, at 8:23 a.m.
    • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **QUIZ** **ROLLOUT RESULTS**
      Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 3 May 2019, at 10:20 a.m.
    • Mochy Challenge Day 2 **ROLLOUT and VARIANT for #3**
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 5 May 2019, at 12:52 a.m.