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Beaver Mystery -- SOLUTION
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: Beaver Mystery (Nack Ballard)
Date: Sunday, 5 May 2019, at 12:35 p.m.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 167Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 167
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 One checker play on each side, No Double / Beaver
Blue wins the (non-doublet) opening roll and makes a point. White rolls a non-doublet and leaves a double direct shot on his own side of the board. With Blue back on roll, the correct cube action is No Double / Beaver, according to XGR++ evaluation.
What is Blue's play, and what is White's play?
SOLUTION Congratulations to Justin Nowell, John O'Hagan, Bob Koca, Brian Lonergan, Joseph Russell, Casper, and David Rockwell, for solving the Beaver mystery!
The diagram below encapsulates the solution.
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 160Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 157
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-bB---D-B---dE---cada---B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 64P-61N-C?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 53.98% (G:19.64% B:1.84%) 54.00% (G:19.26% B:1.75%) Opponent Winning Chances: 46.02% (G:11.84% B:0.51%) 46.00% (G:11.66% B:0.50%) Cubeless Equities +0.171 +0.337 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.241 Double/Beaver: -0.006 (-0.247) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.759) Best Cube action: No double / Beaver Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.7%
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