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2019 Japan Open Final 8 - Michy vs Sebastian Wilkinson XG Feed Video + Match Quiz **RESULTS**

Posted By: Justin Nowell
Date: Thursday, 9 May 2019, at 3:31 a.m.

In Response To: 2019 Japan Open Final 8 - Michy vs Sebastian Wilkinson XG Feed Video + Match Quiz (Justin Nowell)

#1




White is Michy

score: 4
pip: 154
15 point match
pip: 94
score: 0

Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=aBBBaACAB---d----cBda-a---:1:-1:1:62:0:4:0:15:10
Blue to play 62

1.xgRollout18/2 6/4* eq: +1.211
Player:
Opponent:
79.45% (G:65.13% B:1.57%)
20.55% (G:4.89% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+1.203...+1.219) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout17/1 6/4* eq: +1.157 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:
78.39% (G:63.04% B:1.49%)
21.61% (G:5.15% B:0.25%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+1.148...+1.166) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds
3.playedRollout18/2 7/5eq: +1.141 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
79.65% (G:58.09% B:0.89%)
20.35% (G:3.08% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.134...+1.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 17 seconds
4.XG Roller++18/10eq: +1.059 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:
77.71% (G:53.77% B:1.24%)
22.29% (G:4.40% B:0.28%)
5.XG Roller++18/16 7/1eq: +0.813 (-0.398)
Player:
Opponent:
71.07% (G:46.86% B:0.85%)
28.93% (G:6.19% B:0.35%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93885552
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#2




White is Sebastian Wilkinson

score: 4
pip: 139
15 point match
pip: 129
score: 4

Blue is Michy
XGID=-aaB--D-D---bD-ab---bbbb-A:0:0:-1:00:4:4:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.16% (G:30.31% B:0.34%) 67.91% (G:33.41% B:0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.84% (G:5.60% B:0.28%) 32.09% (G:6.27% B:0.45%)
Cubeless Equities +0.615 +1.292
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.796 (-0.204)±0.010 (+0.786..+0.806)
Double/Take:+1.039 (+0.039)±0.017 (+1.022..+1.056)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93885552
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 28 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#3




White is Michy

score: 5
pip: 144
15 point match
pip: 157
score: 4

Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=-b--BBC-A---bE--ab-ec---B-:0:0:1:63:4:5:0:15:10
Blue to play 63

1.xgRollout113/10 13/7eq: +0.193
Player:
Opponent:
55.28% (G:18.23% B:1.12%)
44.72% (G:18.25% B:2.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.176...+0.210) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 33 seconds
2.playedRollout113/4eq: +0.116 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:
52.58% (G:18.45% B:1.08%)
47.42% (G:17.03% B:1.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.100...+0.131) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout124/18 8/5eq: +0.100 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:
53.04% (G:18.83% B:1.53%)
46.96% (G:22.34% B:0.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.086...+0.115) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 15 seconds
4.Rollout124/18 13/10eq: +0.097 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:
53.87% (G:19.30% B:1.62%)
46.13% (G:23.94% B:1.84%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.081...+0.113) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 50 seconds
5.Rollout124/15eq: +0.045 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:
52.78% (G:16.09% B:1.13%)
47.22% (G:21.47% B:0.91%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.032...+0.059) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 59 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93885552
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#4




White is Michy

score: 9
pip: 116
15 point match
pip: 114
score: 8

Blue is Sebastian Wilkinson
XGID=-a-CBBBbC---aB---a--cbbc-A:0:0:1:00:8:9:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.48% (G:22.63% B:0.98%) 62.52% (G:22.50% B:0.97%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.52% (G:7.88% B:0.20%) 37.48% (G:7.81% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.406 +0.835
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.539 (-0.081)±0.012 (+0.527..+0.552)
Double/Take:+0.621±0.016 (+0.605..+0.636)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.379)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93885552
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

#5




White is Sebastian Wilkinson

score: 9
pip: 158
15 point match
pip: 122
score: 12

Blue is Michy
XGID=-a---BCBC---bB--baAcdb--B-:0:0:-1:42:9:12:0:15:10
Blue to play 42

1.xgRollout124/22 8/4eq: +0.133
Player:
Opponent:
55.05% (G:24.61% B:4.33%)
44.95% (G:10.32% B:0.54%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.117...+0.149) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 21 seconds
2.playedRollout19/7* 8/4eq: -0.007 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:
51.48% (G:25.73% B:5.31%)
48.52% (G:11.42% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.024...+0.011) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 32 seconds
3.Rollout19/7* 7/3eq: -0.027 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:
51.29% (G:25.83% B:5.65%)
48.71% (G:12.90% B:0.94%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.043...-0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 57 seconds
4.Rollout113/7* eq: -0.035 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:
51.02% (G:24.68% B:5.21%)
48.98% (G:12.45% B:0.83%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.053...-0.018) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 22 seconds
5.Rollout19/5 9/7* eq: -0.087 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:
49.77% (G:24.29% B:5.21%)
50.23% (G:12.62% B:0.74%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.103...-0.070) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 29 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93885552
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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