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Post-Hit 22 to play - cube action after closeout rolloug

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Sunday, 12 May 2019, at 10:12 p.m.

In Response To: Post-Hit 22 to play (ah_clem)

Of course the cube decision is a push since there are no market losers or gainers. XGR+ says it's a very close take (.007) while a full rollout says it's a moderately close pass. Interesting how much the gappy structure costs white.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 49
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 87
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBBBBC--------A-----d-dA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.82% (G:0.07% B:0.00%) 20.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.583 +1.160
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.000±0.002 (+0.998..+1.002)
Redouble/Take:+1.034 (+0.034)±0.008 (+1.026..+1.042)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:50.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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