| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/9 | eq: -0.345 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.24% (G:10.13% B:0.27%)
65.76% (G:24.79% B:0.94%) | Conf.: � 0.007 (-0.352...-0.338) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 | eq: -0.379 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.70% (G:8.39% B:0.20%)
67.30% (G:23.13% B:0.54%) | Conf.: � 0.007 (-0.385...-0.372) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/9 6/4 | eq: -0.402 (-0.057) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.30% (G:7.88% B:0.17%)
67.70% (G:24.18% B:0.64%) | Conf.: � 0.007 (-0.409...-0.395) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/6 8/4 | eq: -0.402 (-0.057) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.64% (G:6.45% B:0.16%)
68.36% (G:21.08% B:0.41%) | Conf.: � 0.012 (-0.414...-0.391) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/11 6/2 | eq: -0.439 (-0.094) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.57% (G:7.99% B:0.21%)
68.43% (G:26.28% B:0.55%) | Conf.: � 0.008 (-0.447...-0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Tim's rollout of his original position is shown above.
In his variant (not shown), he moved White's 4pt spare back to the 6pt, which ameliorates the duplication of White's 42 62 and makes the three key plays close.
I chose to move the same White 4pt checker, in my case to her 11pt, 10pt and 9pt, respectively, creating variants with three different best plays. If you prefer to view these three positions side-by-side-by-side (rather than vertically), make your window very wide.
Nack
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/9 | eq: -0.275 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.44% (G:11.63% B:0.29%)
64.56% (G:21.81% B:0.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.279...-0.271) - [100.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 | eq: -0.305 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.28% (G:10.06% B:0.25%)
65.72% (G:20.82% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.309...-0.302) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/6 8/4 | eq: -0.307 (-0.032) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.40% (G:8.86% B:0.19%)
65.60% (G:20.51% B:0.53%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.311...-0.303) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/9 6/4 | eq: -0.325 (-0.050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.78% (G:9.72% B:0.24%)
66.22% (G:21.11% B:0.64%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.331...-0.318) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/11 6/2 | eq: -0.359 (-0.084) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.52% (G:9.85% B:0.24%)
66.48% (G:24.23% B:0.77%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.366...-0.352) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 92990032
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 92990032
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/6 8/4 | eq: -0.331 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.71% (G:8.32% B:0.19%)
66.29% (G:20.91% B:0.54%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.335...-0.327) - [98.4%]
Duration: 44 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/9 | eq: -0.337 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.55% (G:9.83% B:0.22%)
66.45% (G:21.96% B:0.88%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.341...-0.333) - [1.6%]
Duration: 48 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/7 | eq: -0.350 (-0.019) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.86% (G:8.65% B:0.21%)
67.14% (G:20.72% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.354...-0.347) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/11 6/2 | eq: -0.392 (-0.061) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.44% (G:8.71% B:0.18%)
67.56% (G:23.83% B:0.76%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.400...-0.385) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/9 6/4 | eq: -0.395 (-0.064) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.90% (G:8.38% B:0.20%)
68.10% (G:22.76% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.402...-0.388) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 28949094
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 28949094
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 | eq: -0.318 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.65% (G:8.99% B:0.20%)
66.35% (G:19.92% B:0.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.322...-0.314) - [100.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/9 | eq: -0.339 (-0.021) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.80% (G:10.25% B:0.23%)
66.20% (G:23.21% B:0.93%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.343...-0.335) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/6 8/4 | eq: -0.350 (-0.032) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.11% (G:7.32% B:0.14%)
66.89% (G:20.26% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.354...-0.347) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 16 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/9 6/4 | eq: -0.395 (-0.077) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.00% (G:8.49% B:0.19%)
68.00% (G:22.68% B:0.67%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.402...-0.388) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/11 6/2 | eq: -0.397 (-0.079) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.16% (G:8.47% B:0.19%)
67.84% (G:23.50% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.404...-0.390) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 29943095
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 29943095
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
