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BGonline.org Forums
Race cube AtS
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Race cube AtS (Karol Szczerek)
Date: Thursday, 17 October 2019, at 2:16 p.m.
Blue needs ~10/81 to take, a little over 12%. Kleinman's formula for a 31-39 pip v pip race gives 31 about 85% chances. This however isn't a pip v pip race since both players have checkers on their low points. It's closer to a flat v flat bearoff which makes White a larger favorite. Is this enough to make it a pass for Blue? I doubt it. Still looks takeable to me.
Btw, Seret's pipple count says the EPC difference is also ~8 pips.
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