The rollout verdict depends sensitively on the location of White's blot in her board.
It occurs to me now that I probably should have done a "rollout with both double and no double" just in case there's something funny going on with White's immediate cube action. Oh well.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 111 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-----BC-ECa-a----cdeB---a-:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/16 20/15 | eq: -0.652 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.75% (G:3.54% B:0.12%)
69.25% (G:8.19% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.660...-0.644) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/4 8/4 | eq: -0.716 (-0.064) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.43% (G:1.83% B:0.04%)
71.57% (G:1.96% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.725...-0.708) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/16 9/4 | eq: -0.729 (-0.077) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.60% (G:4.48% B:0.17%)
70.40% (G:10.06% B:0.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.744...-0.714) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
Variant 1:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 114 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-----BC-ECa-a----cdeBa----:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/4 8/4 | eq: -0.657 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.96% (G:1.33% B:0.02%)
70.04% (G:1.36% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.665...-0.649) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/5 8/3 | eq: -0.691 (-0.033) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.92% (G:1.14% B:0.04%)
71.08% (G:1.54% B:0.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.699...-0.682) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/16 20/15 | eq: -0.693 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.39% (G:3.39% B:0.14%)
69.61% (G:10.04% B:0.17%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.705...-0.680) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/4 8/3 | eq: -0.693 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.94% (G:1.25% B:0.03%)
71.06% (G:1.81% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.702...-0.685) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
Variant 2:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 113 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-----BC-ECa-a----cdeB-a---:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/4 8/4 | eq: -0.685 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.21% (G:1.27% B:0.03%)
70.79% (G:1.38% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.694...-0.676) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/15 9/5 | eq: -0.721 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.40% (G:3.25% B:0.12%)
70.60% (G:8.57% B:0.17%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.733...-0.708) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/15 8/4 | eq: -0.721 (-0.036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.53% (G:3.54% B:0.19%)
70.47% (G:9.41% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.734...-0.708) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 20/16 20/15 | eq: -0.784 (-0.099) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.51% (G:2.92% B:0.11%)
71.49% (G:9.47% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.797...-0.771) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release