The double hit 18/14* 8/2* is the DMP play, but loses more gammons. For money with a centered cube, XG says it's hugely right to hit twice (see below). ATS, though, XG says that it's tied with the safe single hit.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146 | | 5 point match | pip: 144 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=--abCCB-Ba--AAa--bAbbbbB--:1:1:1:64:1:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/12 13/9* | eq: +0.079 |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.71% (G:20.06% B:4.02%) 52.29% (G:17.51% B:1.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.072...+0.085) - [69.1%] Duration: 17 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 18/14* 8/2* | eq: +0.076 (-0.003) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.61% (G:26.37% B:6.53%) 51.39% (G:22.65% B:3.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.068...+0.084) - [30.9%] Duration: 20 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 18/14* 14/8 | eq: -0.033 (-0.112) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.10% (G:19.31% B:4.10%) 55.90% (G:19.04% B:1.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.047...-0.020) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
For money, player owning cube:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 144 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=--abCCB-Ba--AAa--bAbbbbB--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/14* 8/2* | eq: +0.165 |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.68% (G:26.03% B:1.35%) 51.32% (G:22.38% B:3.13%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.146...+0.184) - [98.7%] Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 18/12 13/9* | eq: +0.139 (-0.026) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.78% (G:19.21% B:0.96%) 52.22% (G:17.30% B:1.09%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.126...+0.152) - [1.3%] Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
For money, centered cube:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 146 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 144 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=--abCCB-Ba--AAa--bAbbbbB--:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/14* 8/2* | eq: +0.049 |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.55% (G:25.92% B:1.36%) 51.45% (G:22.47% B:3.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.029...+0.068) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9* 8/2* | eq: -0.069 (-0.118) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.86% (G:22.92% B:1.10%) 53.14% (G:24.61% B:3.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.090...-0.049) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 18/12 13/9* | eq: -0.077 (-0.126) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.85% (G:19.40% B:0.98%) 52.15% (G:17.18% B:1.02%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.094...-0.060) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release