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Rollout and variants

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 21 July 2023, at 12:18 p.m.

In Response To: When will I learn? (Timothy Chow)

The subject line was short for, "When will I learn how strong a board is too strong?"





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBa--D-B---bE-B--bcc-ba--:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout16/3* 3/2eq: -0.197
Player:
Opponent:
45.22% (G:7.98% B:0.31%)
54.78% (G:16.80% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.210...-0.184) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.273 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:
44.22% (G:9.18% B:0.41%)
55.78% (G:21.38% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.285...-0.260) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 09 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release


Variant 1:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBa--D-B---bE-B--bcbbaa--:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.254
Player:
Opponent:
43.92% (G:9.90% B:0.60%)
56.08% (G:23.97% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.263...-0.245) - [79.8%]
Duration: 8 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout16/3* 3/2eq: -0.259 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
43.95% (G:8.24% B:0.39%)
56.05% (G:18.90% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.270...-0.249) - [20.2%]
Duration: 8 minutes 37 seconds
 
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release


Variant 2:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
Unlimited Game
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBa--D-B---bE-B--bcb-c-a-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout16/3* 3/2eq: -0.185
Player:
Opponent:
45.35% (G:8.12% B:0.29%)
54.65% (G:15.42% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.194...-0.177) - [99.7%]
Duration: 8 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.203 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
46.00% (G:10.46% B:0.49%)
54.00% (G:20.29% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.211...-0.194) - [0.3%]
Duration: 7 minutes 47 seconds
 
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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