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Rollout: "Stick's rule" part 2

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 28 July 2023, at 11:47 a.m.

In Response To: "Stick's rule" part 2 (Timothy Chow)

This position defies both Stick's rule and my addendum, since it's not really close to the take/pass borderline. I'm not sure how one would be able to come up with D/T over the board.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
7 point match
pip: 76
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bBCBBBB-A----------bdbcbA-:0:0:1:00:4:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.57% (G:23.23% B:0.48%) 75.10% (G:22.51% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.43% (G:1.94% B:0.05%) 24.90% (G:1.97% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.709 +1.278
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.666 (-0.232)±0.007 (+0.658..+0.673)
Double/Take:+0.898±0.009 (+0.889..+0.907)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.102)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 46.7 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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