Actually, this wasn't my decision to make when it came up; it was XG's. XG 3-ply chose to play 13/9 13/7, which the rollout says is a double whopper with cheese.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 2 pip: 56 | | 7 point match | pip: 170 score: 3
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=a----BDBA----B------BdccB-:1:1:1:64:3:2:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/16 20/14 | eq: +0.019 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 46.08% (G:27.89% B:5.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.004...+0.033) - [99.9%] Duration: 4 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/10 | eq: -0.015 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 46.70% (G:28.62% B:5.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.030...0.000) - [0.1%] Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.208 (-0.227) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 50.88% (G:33.01% B:6.93%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.225...-0.191) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
XG 3-ply:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 2 pip: 56 | | 7 point match | pip: 170 score: 3
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=a----BDBA----B------BdccB-:1:1:1:64:3:2:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | 3-ply | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.134 |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 50.49% (G:31.83% B:5.20%) | |
|
| 2. | 3-ply | 8/2 6/2 | eq: -0.150 (-0.016) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 51.30% (G:30.58% B:4.30%) | |
|
| 3. | 3-ply | 20/16 20/14 | eq: -0.151 (-0.017) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 50.70% (G:27.84% B:4.31%) | |
|
| 4. | 3-ply | 20/10 | eq: -0.168 (-0.033) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 51.04% (G:28.60% B:4.51%) | |
|
| 5. | 3-ply | 13/7 8/4 | eq: -0.214 (-0.080) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 52.07% (G:34.09% B:5.85%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2