BGonline.org Forums

Break anchor or dump?

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 14 August 2023, at 12:40 a.m.

In Response To: Break anchor or dump? (Timothy Chow)

In Tim's original position, Blue should dump instead of breaking his anchor (running), by a substantial margin.

Here, one of White's spares has been moved from her 6pt to her 2pt. This increases Blue's race deficit from 4 pips to 8 pips, and yet now he should break his anchor (run) instead of dumping, by a substantial margin.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 4 pip: 104 7 point match pip: 112 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-AbCCBB--------b-cbcBc--:0:0:1:61:4:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	22/16 3/2	eq: -0.4026
	Player: Opponent: 41.52% (G:9.90% B:0.49%) 58.48% (G:25.11% B:1.56%) Conf.: ±0.0166 (-0.4192...-0.3859) - [94.6%] Duration: 6 minutes 46 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/15	eq: -0.4185 (-0.0159)
	Player: Opponent: 41.05% (G:10.13% B:0.42%) 58.95% (G:23.78% B:0.94%) Conf.: ±0.0099 (-0.4285...-0.4086) - [5.4%] Duration: 5 minutes 36 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/7 8/2	eq: -0.4461 (-0.0435)
	Player: Opponent: 38.30% (G:7.71% B:0.22%) 61.70% (G:10.54% B:0.65%) Conf.: ±0.0101 (-0.4562...-0.4360) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 59146852 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Break anchor or dump?
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 9 August 2023, at 1:10 p.m.
  • Break anchor or dump?
    OpenWheel -- Wednesday, 9 August 2023, at 4:08 p.m.
  • Break anchor or dump?
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 11 August 2023, at 1:51 a.m.
    • Break anchor or dump?
      OpenWheel -- Friday, 11 August 2023, at 9:44 a.m.
    • Break anchor or dump?
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 14 August 2023, at 12:40 a.m.