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DQ: Sit back and wait for contact? *RollOut*

Posted By: pierrez
Date: Sunday, 20 August 2023, at 8:10 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Sit back and wait for contact? *RollOut* (pierrez)





White is Joueur 2

score: 6
pip: 92
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=-----ADaC-C--CAb--bcaacb--:0:0:1:45:0:6:1:7:10
Blue to play 45

1.Rollout113/9 10/5eq: -0,349
Player:
Opponent:		32,32% (G:2,91% B:0,11%)
67,68% (G:16,72% B:0,48%)		Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,353...-0,345) - [82,1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout114/9 13/9eq: -0,352 (-0,003)
Player:
Opponent:		32,22% (G:2,40% B:0,09%)
67,78% (G:6,82% B:0,19%)		Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,356...-0,348) - [17,9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout110/5 8/4eq: -0,392 (-0,043)
Player:
Opponent:		30,22% (G:2,28% B:0,10%)
69,78% (G:11,15% B:0,40%)		Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,395...-0,388) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds
4.4-ply10/5 6/2eq: -0,479 (-0,130)
Player:
Opponent:		25,93% (G:1,66% B:0,05%)
74,07% (G:10,32% B:0,21%)
5.4-ply13/4eq: -0,521 (-0,172)
Player:
Opponent:		23,83% (G:1,79% B:0,05%)
76,17% (G:13,45% B:0,35%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

We have two equivalent game plans at this score :

Either containing the last checker by making the 9 point





White is Joueur 2

score: 6
pip: 92
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=-----ADaCBC--B-b--bcaacb--:0:0:1:45:0:6:1:7:10
Blue to play 45

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

or maximizing pressure on this last checker by putting a blot on the 9 point and making the 5 point
White is Joueur 2

score: 6
pip: 92
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=-----BDaCAB--BAb--bcaacb--:0:0:1:45:0:6:1:7:10
Blue to play 45

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

If we are missed, a double or quadruple shot is coming, and if we get shot when White is escaping, a lot of return hits are looming.

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