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Local Tournament Match Cube Action

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Sunday, 17 September 2023, at 9:19 p.m.

In Response To: Local Tournament Match Cube Action (Ian Terry)

I would start out by thinking what I would do in a money game. This looks like a money cube and probably a comfortable take as well. This position is not very volatile and in general equity should be very high before we can cube. Like 0.75 - 0.80. Cube seems comfortable, so I would guess we passed 0.80 mark. Take seems comfortable, so I guess we have not passed 0.90 mark. Overall, I would guess D/T for money and the equity 0.8 - 0.9. What about ATS? Well, the double is clear but the take is not. Over the board I would judge this is not a particularly gammonish position and probably take without being very confident about what it is right. QF suggests it's a pass(?) It is worth going through numbers to get a sense of how position plays on the next roll. Almost all rolls play well either hitting, or escaping, or making a point. 62 and 65 are the worst but even these leave us a sizable favorite. Like I said before, OTB I would probably take it. I won't be upset if it is a small pass either because I feel like white will have a more difficult game in those games where she turns it around.

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