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Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Tuesday, 3 October 2023, at 12:58 a.m.

In Response To: ROLLOUTS (Dmitriy Obukhov)

So, 31P-42P-51 came up in one of my matches at some Even_Away-Crofford score. I knew that 31P-31P-51 was almost dead even for money. I judged (mistakenly, as it turned out) that his 42P (instead of 31P) made me very slightly less inclined to split due to advantage of 42P over 31P in 2 pips and due to his slightly worse priming position compared to 31P-31P-51. Also, needing a gammon, 6/5 seemed like a better bet. Rollouts show that although 6/5 gains over 24/23 at Gammon Go, the gain is almost negligible. So, I am still scratching my head here wondering what is wrong with my thinking.

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