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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 10-1-23 - Rollout + Yap Yap
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Position of the Day 10-1-23 (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 3 October 2023, at 8:36 p.m.
While it's understandable playing 2*(2) 1*(2) here, a play that would likely be correct in a slew of other maybe even similar feeling positions, it's quite the hefty meal at Burger King. To understand this I think it helps to set up both plays.
After the pure blitzing play of 2*(2) 1*(2) the game will look something like the opponent having three checkers on his anchor and the other checker will get tossed into the outfield. You may very well hit that checker again and even again but it's a cycle that is bound to repeat itself for the most part. He has no reason to play checkers anywhere else. His position will not tear itself apart.
Whereas with the best play, 3(2) 2*(2) we realize just how awful it is when the opponent enters with an ace. His position gets destroyed like it's 1916 and GT is spanking the Bulldogs 222-0. Entering on the ace point leaves him no other checkers to play. Does he rip up his board playing off the 6pt? Does he dismantle the 8pt creating one or potentially two blots? Does he leave the front anchor and resolve himself to having two men on the bar for a while and them all having to enter on the 24pt and go from there? Awful, awful, or more awful.
We can see in the numbers breakdown that the best play wins a lot more gammons for this very reason.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 126Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 148
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-aa-BbCBBB------Bb-b-B-dc-:1:-1:1:66:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 66
1. Rollout1 9/3(2) 8/2*(2) eq: +0.978
Player:
Opponent:85.48% (G:32.49% B:1.31%)
14.52% (G:1.54% B:0.02%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.971...+0.985) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 10 seconds2. Rollout1 8/2*(2) 7/1*(2) eq: +0.831 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:82.01% (G:26.95% B:0.36%)
17.99% (G:1.86% B:0.03%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.824...+0.838) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 03 seconds1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34281918
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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