
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 157 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 165 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C--AeD----bbbb-A-A:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Original position: Blue to play 11 against White's 7pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 6/5(2) | eq: -0.297 |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.91% (G:11.13% B:0.53%) 57.09% (G:16.73% B:0.77%) | Conf.: ą 0.009 (-0.306...-0.288) - [100.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 23/22 6/5(2) | eq: -0.321 (-0.024) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.93% (G:11.31% B:0.50%) 57.07% (G:18.52% B:0.90%) | Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.329...-0.312) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 26 seconds |
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| |
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52333159 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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More than anything else, I think this has to do with putting back checkers on the point(s) from which they can escape. It explains why bar/23 is best in the original position above, and it explains why bar/23 is a whopper in the variant position below, where White owns her 8pt instead of her 7pt.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 159 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 165 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C--AeD---b-bbb-A-A:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant: Blue to play 11 against White's 8pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 23/22 6/5(2) | eq: -0.234 |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.52% (G:12.13% B:0.56%) 55.48% (G:16.59% B:0.74%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.245...-0.223) - [99.7%] Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 11/10 6/5(2) | eq: -0.257 (-0.023) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.95% (G:12.46% B:0.58%) 56.05% (G:17.99% B:0.89%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.269...-0.245) - [0.3%] Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | Bar/24 6/5(3) | eq: -0.329 (-0.095) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.47% (G:11.97% B:0.59%) 57.53% (G:18.61% B:0.89%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.345...-0.314) - [0.0%] Duration: 50 minutes 09 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout2 | Bar/23 6/5(2) | eq: -0.355 (-0.121) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.48% (G:11.16% B:0.53%) 58.52% (G:17.98% B:0.87%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.373...-0.338) - [0.0%] Duration: 49 minutes 21 seconds |
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| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 92480829 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 92480829 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10