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Position of the Day 10-17-23 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 23 October 2023, at 11:47 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-17-23 (Stick)

It's more common this type of play, 24/14 tossing both your back checkers in the outfield, is correct when the opponent has a stripped midpoint. Two obvious variants below.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--a-E-C---cE--Acbe----A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	24/14	eq: -0.244
	Player: Opponent: 44.90% (G:7.60% B:0.34%) 55.10% (G:15.87% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.251...-0.237) - [97.3%] Duration: 34 minutes 16 seconds
2.	Rollout1	16/10 8/4*	eq: -0.255 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 44.37% (G:11.02% B:0.41%) 55.63% (G:16.80% B:0.90%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.262...-0.247) - [2.7%] Duration: 36 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout2	8/2 6/2	eq: -0.283 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 43.13% (G:11.25% B:0.43%) 56.87% (G:17.11% B:0.75%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.297...-0.268) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
4.	Rollout3	16/6	eq: -0.309 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 42.87% (G:8.30% B:0.28%) 57.13% (G:14.92% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.329...-0.289) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 34 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18531947 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18531947 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18531947 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Variant 1

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-C---cE--Acbe----A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.	XG Roller++	24/14	eq: -0.199
	Player: Opponent: 46.23% (G:8.54% B:0.33%) 53.77% (G:15.62% B:0.51%)
2.	XG Roller++	16/6	eq: -0.267 (-0.068)
	Player: Opponent: 44.08% (G:8.60% B:0.28%) 55.92% (G:15.04% B:0.40%)
3.	XG Roller++	8/2 6/2	eq: -0.273 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 43.90% (G:10.29% B:0.36%) 56.10% (G:17.03% B:0.58%)

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Variant 2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---aE-C---cE--Acbe----A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	24/14	eq: -0.266
	Player: Opponent: 44.23% (G:7.99% B:0.33%) 55.77% (G:16.16% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.281...-0.251) - [99.7%] Duration: 8 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2 6/2	eq: -0.294 (-0.028)
	Player: Opponent: 43.06% (G:10.77% B:0.42%) 56.94% (G:16.69% B:0.74%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.307...-0.281) - [0.3%] Duration: 7 minutes 11 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18531947 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 10-17-23
  Stick -- Thursday, 19 October 2023, at 9:17 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-17-23
    Frank Berger -- Friday, 20 October 2023, at 9:50 a.m.
    • Position of the Day 10-17-23
      Sam Pottle -- Friday, 20 October 2023, at 4:28 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 10-17-23
        Frank Berger -- Friday, 20 October 2023, at 4:44 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-17-23 - Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 23 October 2023, at 11:47 p.m.
    • Another variant
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 24 October 2023, at 12:10 p.m.
      • S/Z preference
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 29 October 2023, at 11:03 p.m.
        • S/Z preference
          Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 31 October 2023, at 7:35 p.m.
          • S/Z preference
            Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 31 October 2023, at 9:01 p.m.
            • S/Z preference
              Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 31 October 2023, at 11:11 p.m.
    • 61P-62R-53S-64, and 61P-62R-52S-64
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 29 October 2023, at 11:31 p.m.