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Tricky probability puzzle

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 30 October 2023, at 4:44 p.m.

In Response To: Tricky probability puzzle (Jason Lee)

""One of my cards is an ace. What is the probability my other card is an ace?" You could work it out, it's not a hard problem in conditional probability."

It is an extremely difficult problem if you take into account why you would be saying such a thing.

Messages In This Thread

• Tricky probability puzzle
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 28 October 2023, at 4:17 a.m.
  • Tricky probability puzzle
    Jason Lee -- Saturday, 28 October 2023, at 5:01 p.m.
    • Tricky probability puzzle
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 29 October 2023, at 1:03 a.m.
      • Tricky probability puzzle
        Jason Lee -- Sunday, 29 October 2023, at 12:46 p.m.
        • Tricky probability puzzle
          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 31 October 2023, at 2:36 a.m.
    • Tricky probability puzzle
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 30 October 2023, at 4:44 p.m.
      • Tricky probability puzzle
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 30 October 2023, at 4:50 p.m.
  • Tricky probability puzzle
    Stick -- Sunday, 29 October 2023, at 9:58 p.m.
  • Solution
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 30 October 2023, at 12:46 a.m.
    • A similar puzzle
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 30 October 2023, at 4:49 p.m.
      • A similar puzzle
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 1 November 2023, at 1:26 p.m.
      • Solution
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 7 November 2023, at 2:29 a.m.