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Position of the Day 10-28-23 - Rollout + Variants

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 5 November 2023, at 11:18 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-28-23 (Stick)

In the variants it depends a little where the extra man in the zone is but to generalize, it still doesn't quite swing it.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 175 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 152 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaA--aD-C-A-dD--Ac-e----A-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	10/5* 8/5	eq: +0.323
	Player: Opponent: 64.01% (G:25.95% B:1.77%) 35.99% (G:8.43% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.309...+0.337) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 05 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5* 5/2	eq: +0.289 (-0.034)
	Player: Opponent: 62.78% (G:25.31% B:1.82%) 37.22% (G:8.61% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.277...+0.302) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 53 seconds
3.	XG Roller++	10/2	eq: +0.112 (-0.211)
	Player: Opponent: 58.19% (G:18.99% B:1.03%) 41.81% (G:9.90% B:0.36%)
1 972 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50733132 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Variant 1

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 175 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaA--aD-C-B-dC--Ac-e----A-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	10/5* 8/5	eq: +0.393
	Player: Opponent: 65.80% (G:28.41% B:2.02%) 34.20% (G:8.03% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.383...+0.403) - [96.7%] Duration: 6 minutes 28 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5* 5/2	eq: +0.379 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 64.79% (G:28.63% B:2.15%) 35.21% (G:7.76% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.368...+0.389) - [3.3%] Duration: 6 minutes 02 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50733132 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Variant 2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 175 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaA--aD-C-AAdC--Ac-e----A-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	10/5* 8/5	eq: +0.375
	Player: Opponent: 65.29% (G:26.84% B:1.90%) 34.71% (G:7.96% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.365...+0.385) - [98.1%] Duration: 6 minutes 49 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5* 5/2	eq: +0.360 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 64.51% (G:27.29% B:1.98%) 35.49% (G:8.14% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.350...+0.370) - [1.9%] Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50733132 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

Variant 3

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 175 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaA--aD-CAA-dC--Ac-e----A-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	10/5* 5/2	eq: +0.410
	Player: Opponent: 65.29% (G:29.84% B:2.19%) 34.71% (G:7.70% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.399...+0.420) - [60.1%] Duration: 6 minutes 33 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5* 8/5	eq: +0.408 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 65.85% (G:28.95% B:1.95%) 34.15% (G:7.97% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.397...+0.418) - [39.9%] Duration: 6 minutes 52 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50733132 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 10-28-23
  Stick -- Tuesday, 31 October 2023, at 10:25 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-28-23
    Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 1 November 2023, at 6:13 a.m.
    • Position of the Day 10-28-23
      John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 1 November 2023, at 1:37 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 10-28-23
        Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 1 November 2023, at 5:57 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-28-23 - Rollout + Variants
    Stick -- Sunday, 5 November 2023, at 11:18 p.m.
    • 7pt variant and ZONE spotlight
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 7 November 2023, at 8:42 a.m.