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PotD 10-29-23 - three variants and ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 9 November 2023, at 1:17 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-29-23 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBa-BCB-A--dB---cAdb-----:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout118/13 6/3* eq: +1.185
Player:
Opponent:		82.26% (G:64.40% B:0.40%)
17.74% (G:3.50% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+1.177...+1.192) - [95.7%]
Duration: 1 minute 44 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 6/3* eq: +1.175 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		80.78% (G:68.22% B:0.39%)
19.22% (G:5.41% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+1.168...+1.183) - [4.3%]
Duration: 1 minute 35 seconds
3.Rollout29/4 7/4eq: +1.085 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		80.50% (G:58.08% B:0.41%)
19.50% (G:2.99% B:0.13%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+1.077...+1.093) - [0.0%]
Duration: 54.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78773267
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78773267
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of his original position is above.

Below are three variants. In the third, in order to swing 9/4 7/4 from Whoppersville to the top of the rollout, it is necessary to add two extra points to White's board.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 161
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBa-BCB-A--dB---dAe------:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 5pt is unmade

1.Rollout113/8 6/3* eq: +1.392
Player:
Opponent:		86.96% (G:73.10% B:0.45%)
13.04% (G:2.65% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.389...+1.396) - [100.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 07 seconds
2.Rollout118/13 6/3* eq: +1.373 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		87.61% (G:68.66% B:0.42%)
12.39% (G:1.95% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.371...+1.376) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 40 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34875577
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBa-BCB-A--dB---bAdba----:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 4pt is slotted

1.Rollout113/8 6/3* eq: +1.251
Player:
Opponent:		82.79% (G:70.91% B:0.81%)
17.21% (G:5.40% B:0.63%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.247...+1.254) - [100.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout118/13 6/3* eq: +1.239 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		83.57% (G:66.33% B:0.73%)
16.43% (G:3.40% B:0.17%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.236...+1.243) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 32 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51941560
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 138
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBa-BCB-A--dB----Abbbc---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White has two extra points in her board

1.Rollout19/4 7/4eq: +0.845
Player:
Opponent:		75.00% (G:50.14% B:0.39%)
25.00% (G:5.70% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.842...+0.848) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
2.Rollout118/13 6/3* eq: +0.831 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		74.43% (G:51.39% B:0.35%)
25.57% (G:7.68% B:0.32%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.828...+0.835) - [0.0%]
Duration: 58 minutes 57 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74901782
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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