[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout ATS and unlimited + Variant

Posted By: pierrez
Date: Monday, 13 November 2023, at 6:57 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout ATS and unlimited (Timothy Chow)

Not sure, but sometimes it is helpful to ask oneself, what will be the cube action after each candidate followed by a fan by the opponent.

In this case against a 4 point board + the gap on the white's five point, it is a massive double pass at the score -3 -5, and a more massive double pass for unlimited match because of the activation of the gammon. 
 






 

White is Joueur 2

score: 2
pip: 141
7 point match
pip: 137
score: 4

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=aB-aBCB---A-dB---c-b-BAbb-:0:0:1:00:4:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71,71% (G:42,78% B:0,65%) 72,07% (G:42,84% B:0,67%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28,29% (G:7,19% B:0,21%) 27,93% (G:7,06% B:0,21%)
Cubeless Equities +0,872 +1,608
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,883 (-0,117)
Double/Take:+1,144 (+0,144)
Double/Pass:+1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2




White is Joueur 2

score: 0
pip: 141
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=aB-aBCB---A-dB---c-b-BAbb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70,23% (G:35,93% B:0,55%) 72,17% (G:43,69% B:0,67%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29,77% (G:6,67% B:0,18%) 27,83% (G:7,37% B:0,25%)
Cubeless Equities +0,701 +1,622
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,832 (-0,168)
Double/Take:+1,420 (+0,420)
Double/Pass:+1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Now in case of the Variant when the 5pt is made, it is a different story. 
 






 

White is Joueur 2

score: 2
pip: 149
7 point match
pip: 137
score: 4

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=aB-aBCB---A-dB---c-bbBAb--:0:0:1:00:4:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65,16% (G:38,28% B:0,51%) 64,99% (G:38,59% B:0,53%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34,84% (G:8,96% B:0,42%) 35,01% (G:8,95% B:0,42%)
Cubeless Equities +0,670 +1,187
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,651
Double/Take:+0,583 (-0,068)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,349)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14,0%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2




White is Joueur 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=aB-aBCB---A-dB---c-bbBAb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64,48% (G:36,57% B:0,49%) 65,02% (G:38,82% B:0,52%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35,52% (G:8,88% B:0,40%) 34,98% (G:8,99% B:0,43%)
Cubeless Equities +0,567 +1,199
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,689 (-0,253)
Double/Take:+0,942
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,058)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.