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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 31 January 2007, at 8:07 a.m.

In Response To: Weaver/Stick - More Cubes (Stick)

I doubled, Paul took rather lazily, and needless to say I was happy. For those of you who took this how do you plan on winning again? I know.. rolling an ace then rolling a six, you're way ahead in the race. By that time though I'll easily have at least one more cover/builder in place and most likely you'll be lucky to hop out into a double shot. You'll probably end up killing off checkers and maybe even offering up a 2nd blot depending how things go.


Match to 11, White leads 5 to 3
Blue(Stick) on roll. Cube Action?
106
159
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.607
0.6% 14.4% 77.0% 23.0% 8.1% 0.2%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.607 ±0.022. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 7781 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1. Double, pass 1.000
2. No double 0.916 (-0.084)
3. Double, take 1.196 (+0.196)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

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