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PotD (11-10-23) Variant and Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 30 November 2023, at 11:06 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 11-10-23 - ++ (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 136 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----AD-C---eDb--cAd-A-Aa-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	XG Roller++	21/18	eq: -0.482
	Player: Opponent: 38.08% (G:7.77% B:0.17%) 61.92% (G:16.79% B:0.32%)
2.	XG Roller++	13/11 6/5	eq: -0.518 (-0.036)
	Player: Opponent: 37.56% (G:7.74% B:0.22%) 62.44% (G:17.11% B:0.52%)
3.	XG Roller++	6/5 6/4	eq: -0.526 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 37.77% (G:7.80% B:0.23%) 62.23% (G:18.72% B:0.62%)
4.	XG Roller++	23/21 6/5	eq: -0.668 (-0.186)
	Player: Opponent: 31.15% (G:4.24% B:0.13%) 68.85% (G:9.83% B:0.12%)

Above is the XGR++ evaluation (posted by Stick) of the original position.

Below is my rollout of a variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----AD-C---dDb--cAe-A-Aa-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Variant (a White 13pt spare is instead on her 6pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/11 6/5	eq: -0.620
	Player: Opponent: 35.83% (G:7.44% B:0.28%) 64.17% (G:19.55% B:0.69%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.628...-0.612) - [72.6%] Duration: 3 hours 08 minutes
2.	Rollout1	6/5 6/4	eq: -0.624 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 35.96% (G:7.56% B:0.31%) 64.04% (G:21.14% B:0.74%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.632...-0.615) - [27.2%] Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
3.	Rollout2	21/18	eq: -0.647 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 35.16% (G:7.43% B:0.25%) 64.84% (G:19.95% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.663...-0.630) - [0.2%] Duration: 48 minutes 43 seconds
4.	Rollout2	18/16 6/5	eq: -0.652 (-0.032)
	Player: Opponent: 34.85% (G:7.00% B:0.30%) 65.15% (G:19.45% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.670...-0.635) - [0.0%] Duration: 47 minutes 54 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 11655748 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 11655748 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 11-10-23
  Stick -- Friday, 24 November 2023, at 8:12 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 11-10-23
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 26 November 2023, at 2:28 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 11-10-23 - ++
    Stick -- Tuesday, 28 November 2023, at 10:58 p.m.
    • PotD (11-10-23) Variant and Rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 30 November 2023, at 11:06 p.m.