I have a massive collection of similar type of problems aka should I stay/keep/make the 20pt anchor or should I move out to the 18pt? No hard and fast rules yet because I keep saving positions but never deep diving like I used to. For now it's worth noting that when we make the 18pt we often block our opp's best number [66] and in positions like this demote a [61] from seven pips to just one. What phase of the game we're in obv has a big influence and if the opponent has us hemmed in via the outfield yet the race is close obv also we likely move out. More to come in 2024.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 9/7 | eq: -0.247 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.70% (G:12.69% B:0.31%)
55.30% (G:11.05% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.253...-0.242) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 20/18 | eq: -0.264 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.48% (G:3.14% B:0.07%)
58.52% (G:1.75% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.269...-0.259) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/11 9/5 8/6 | eq: -0.278 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.83% (G:13.08% B:0.27%)
57.17% (G:11.58% B:0.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.288...-0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/7 8/6 | eq: -0.282 (-0.035) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.26% (G:13.14% B:0.28%)
56.74% (G:12.27% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.292...-0.272) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/5 | eq: -0.284 (-0.037) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.97% (G:12.81% B:0.26%)
57.03% (G:11.87% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.293...-0.275) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76564279
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76564279
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
