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Position of the Day 12-1-23 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 6 January 2024, at 7:01 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 12-1-23 (Stick)

The problems I post are often ones I run across playing random games against XG so it shouldn't be much of a surprise sometimes when I post something and there ends up being little difference between the plays. It's just that OtB it was something I had to think about so I screenshot it and feed it into XG later when posting. Hope it doesn't bore too many people when the bottom line is TCTC.

This is what I'd call an obvious exception to the rule of making points in order. Normally, unless we have a very good reason to do otherwise as we do here, we'd simply make the 5pt and the 4pt instead of the 5pt and the 3pt. This is often enough the case with early game double threes because of our stacked 6pt. Note in this position if we didn't own the 11pt and those checkers were back on our midpoint it would be slightly correct to simply make the points in order 5(2) 4*(2).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----a-EBB--BcC--Aeacb-----:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout17/4*(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.783
Player:
Opponent:
70.37% (G:15.33% B:0.32%)
29.63% (G:4.50% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.777...+0.789) - [99.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout116/10 7/4*(2) eq: +0.773 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
70.45% (G:10.02% B:0.11%)
29.55% (G:2.86% B:0.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.768...+0.778) - [0.5%]
Duration: 12 minutes 37 seconds
3.Rollout28/5(2) 7/4*(2) eq: +0.729 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:
68.95% (G:14.04% B:0.23%)
31.05% (G:4.03% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.719...+0.739) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61049626
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61049626
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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