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Position of the Day 12-8-23 - Recube? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 10 January 2024, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 12-8-23 - Recube? (Stick)

So this is actually a variant of a position that came up. I used the variant because I thought nearly everyone would think it was a take. The original position, which I'll show below, I thought would still trip people up OtB but might get sniffed out posted as a forum problem.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab-BBBB-A-A--Baa-b-bbbbAB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.21% (G:33.44% B:4.31%) 69.16% (G:33.49% B:4.49%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.79% (G:10.47% B:1.18%) 30.84% (G:10.63% B:1.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.645 +1.291
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.869 (-0.131)±0.010 (+0.859..+0.878)
Redouble/Take:+1.066 (+0.066)±0.022 (+1.045..+1.088)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48202167
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 35 seconds

Original
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab-BBBB-A-Aa-Ba--b-bbbbAB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.83% (G:38.08% B:5.38%) 71.88% (G:38.14% B:5.35%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.17% (G:9.02% B:0.90%) 28.12% (G:9.02% B:0.91%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.772 +1.547
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.958 (-0.042)
Redouble/Take:+1.340 (+0.340)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

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